Mortgage Rates In The First Week of 2008

Mortgage interest rates began the year at a 4-week low, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of mortgage lenders. 30-year fixed-rate home loans averaged 6.07%, down from 6.17% last week. 15-year fixed-rate mortgages carried an interest rate of 5.68%, compared to 5.79% a week ago. 5-year adjustable mortgages dropped from 5.90% to 5.78%, and one-year ARMs were at 5.47%.

Analysts attribute the drop in interest rates to a series of bad news about the economy and pessimistic expectations about the new year. However, the consumer confidence report picked up in December for the first time in 5 months. I wonder if it’s all holiday cheer or a long-term trend. Either way, mortgage interest rates got even better, for those who can qualify for a loan.

Mortgage Interest Rates At 6-month Low

Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of interest rates shows the 30-year mortgage dropped from 6.24% to 6.20% for this week, the lowest since mid-May. The low for this year was 6.14% in early March, and rates kept climbing pretty steadily for a while, reaching 6.73% back in July. This made many analysts think that interest on 30-year fixed home loans is about to go through the roof topping 7% by the end of the year. Turns out they didn’t foresee the August credit crunch and well, no one counted in the Fed rate cuts. I assume now it’s safe to say interest rates won’t be nearing 7% until the end of the year in any case. With all the mess in the housing market and the two GSEs in trouble as well, the Fed may yet cut again at its meeting on December 11^th – they’ve thrown the dollar stability out the window anyway, so why not prop up the Real Estate sector for a while. Furthermore, oil will most likely hit $100/barrel by the end of 2007, rate cut or not (it’s at $97-$98 right now and forecasters say it will keep growing) due mostly to the dollar’s weakness: China plans to “diversify” its reserves, and OPEC is considering pricing oil in another currency. It may all look like doom & gloom but this is reality. Financial innovation, anyone?

Mortgage rates this week

Mortgage interest rates dropped this week after two consecutive increases, according to Freddie Mac data. 30-year fixed-rate mortgages carried an interest rate of 6.37%, down from 6.42% a week ago. 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.03%, down from 6.09%. 5-year adjustable rate mortgages were at 6.11% compared to 6.15% last week. One-year adjustable home loans carried an interest of 5.58%, down from 5.60%.

A year ago, 30-year mortgages had an interest rate of 6.30%, 15-year fixed loans were at 5.98%, 5-year ARMs averaged 6.00% and 1-year ARMs carried an interest of 5.46%. Back then, however, the Fed Funds rate was higher. Well, this is supply and demand, and there ain’t much of the former in mortgage lending right now, so rate cuts can’t help borrowers. I’m reading a lot of grim forecasts for the months ahead, does the Fed (or anyone for that matter) have other fresh ideas?

Rates On Fixed Mortgages move up

According to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.42% in the week ended September 27. 15-year fixed-rate mortgages carried an average interest of 6.09%, up from 5.98% a week ago. Adjustable-rate mortgages declined this week, with the 5-year ARM dropping to 6.15% from 6.21% a week ago and the 1-year adjustable home loans at 5.60%, down from 5.65%. The demand for ARMs has dropped dramatically recently, as consumers try to escape adjusting loan payments and look for the safety of fixed-rate loans. Home loans are mostly used for refinancing, rather than home purchases, and the result is a 7-year low in new home sales in August. According to the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, sales of new, single-family homes dropped 8.3% on a monthly basis in August to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 795,000.

Financial data for August doesn’t fully reflect the impact of the crisis that occurred mid-month, so we can expect even gloomier results when the business and economic stats for September are released.

30-year mortgage rates edge down

Rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.15% for the week ending Thursday, May 10, according to Freddie Mac. A slight decline from last week’s 6.16% and even closer to this year’s lowest rate of 6.14%, reached in early March. At this time last year, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages were at 6.58%.

The decline was attributed to a weak employment report for April, which showed that a mere 88,000 jobs were created, the lowest level of growth since November 2004. Employment reports for the two previous months were revised downwards. Weak economic data, however, helped ease fears of climbing inflation, which drove interest rates down.

15-year fixed-rate mortgages carried the same interest as last week, 5.87%, while the five-year and one-year adjustable-rate mortgages edged higher, to 5.89% and 5.48% respectively.